The Signal and the Noise : Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't (Hardcover)

from dhmontgomery

My only real concern about this book is that it reinforced what I already believed — something I've long held warrants increased skepticism. Silver would likely agree. If you take anything away from this book it's the importance of thinking probabilistically, and not deterministically. That is to...

from jasonlf

The Signal and the Noise was a really great read. It's one of those books that lets you annoy your friends by tediously repeating facts, many of which they already have picked up from reading the book, reading reviews, or other tedious friends. Like when the Weather Channel says it is a 30% chanc...

from Maya47Bob46

Of course Nate Silver has hit the election squarely once again. This book, while not explaining his formula, does explain his thinking. If you have ever wondered about political pundits, earthquake predictors, sports betters, chess and poker players and how each calculates - or doesn't calculate ...

from martialalex92

So much more to offer than just strategies of big data and prediction models, also offers how to interpret and react to those predictions as the ignorant receiver. Would highly recommend

from haig51

In the movie 'The Graduate', Dustin Hoffman's character is given career advice in the form of one word, 'plastics'. If a remake of the movie were to be done in present times, that word might just be 'statistics'. Nate Silver embodies this worldview and through a hodgepodge of disparate but interr...