Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition

The book "Expert Political Judgment" by Philip Tetlock is a groundbreaking work that sheds light on the art of predicting future political events.

With its comprehensive analysis of various thinking styles, this book provides valuable insights into what constitutes good judgment in forecasting.

By examining the strengths and weaknesses of different approaches, readers will gain a deeper understanding of how to make informed predictions about complex political phenomena.

The author's use of Isaiah Berlin's prototypes of the fox and the hedgehog offers a unique perspective on the qualities that are most important in predicting the future.

This book is an essential read for anyone seeking to develop standards for judging expert decision-making, including academics and corporations alike.

With a new preface that explores the latest research in the field, "Expert Political Judgment" remains a contemporary classic in the literature on evaluating expert opinion.

Don't miss out on this opportunity to gain a competitive edge in understanding the complexities of politics and making informed predictions about future events.